Villa Espanola 0-2 Boston River — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay Cup, 23 Oct 2024

📅23/10/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
5.91
Draw
24%
4.19
Away
54%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.91
Over 2.5
53%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
2.03
No
47%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
6%
X/2
19%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
28%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
14%
+8.4pp
24%
Draw
20%
+3.5pp
54%
Away Win
66%
-11.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
45%
+8.0pp
47%
BTTS No
55%
-8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Villa Espanola EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Boston River EU Bookmakers 70%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +67% / +31%
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
246 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 421 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Villa Espanola
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Boston River
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
46% Ball Possession 54%
5 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 3
10.10.2021 Boston River Boston River 1-0 HT 0-0 Villa Espanola Villa Espanola URU
14.06.2021 Villa Espanola Villa Espanola 2-2 HT 1-1 Boston River Boston River URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Villa Espanola
0-2
AWAY Boston River
38% Ball Possession 62%
5 Total Shots 26
2 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 16
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Villa Espanola vs Boston River
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Boston River saw off Villa Espanola 2-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Boston River as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Villa Espanola had 38% of the ball to Boston River's 62%, shots finished 5-26.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Boston River led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Villa Espanola and 1.50 for Boston River.

What was the final score of Villa Espanola vs Boston River?

Villa Espanola 0-2 Boston River in the Uruguay Cup on 23/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Villa Espanola vs Boston River?

Before kick-off our model rated an Boston River win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Villa Espanola 22%, draw 24%, Boston River 54%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Boston River) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Boston River) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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