Cong An Nhan Dan 1-1 Macarthur — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFCŞL2, 23 Oct 2025

📅23/10/2025 · 🕒15:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.02
Draw
20%
3.54
Away
34%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
2.51
Over 2.5
65%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.46
No
36%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
5.1
2-3 Goals
39%
1.95
4-5 Goals
29%
2.57
6+ Goals
13%
6.14
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
46%
+0.6pp
20%
Draw
25%
-5.0pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+4.3pp
35%
Under 2.5
36%
-1.6pp
65%
Over 2.5
64%
+1.6pp
64%
BTTS Yes
64%
-0.9pp
36%
BTTS No
36%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cong An Nhan Dan EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Macarthur EU Bookmakers 33%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
351 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cong An Nhan Dan
1-1
AWAY Macarthur
0.93 xG 0.27
66% Ball Possession 34%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 5
515 Passes 223
84% Pass Accuracy 75%
25 Box Touches 12
7 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cong An Nhan Dan vs Macarthur
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cong An Nhan Dan and Macarthur shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Cong An Nhan Dan at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (64%) landed while over 2.5 goals (65%) missed.

On the day, Cong An Nhan Dan had 66% of the ball to Macarthur's 34%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 0.93 to 0.27.

What was the final score of Cong An Nhan Dan vs Macarthur?

Cong An Nhan Dan 1-1 Macarthur in the AFCŞL2 on 23/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cong An Nhan Dan vs Macarthur?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cong An Nhan Dan win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Cong An Nhan Dan 46%, draw 20%, Macarthur 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Cong An Nhan Dan), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cong An Nhan Dan) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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