Kaya 0-2 BG Pathum United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFCŞL2, 23 Oct 2025

Kaya
0-2 HT 0-1
BG Pathum United
📅23/10/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
AFCŞL2 – 2025/2026

Kaya vs BG Pathum United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
5.09
Draw
28%
4.08
Away
53%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.07
Over 2.5
51%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.82
No
45%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.72
2-3 Goals
34%
1.8
4-5 Goals
26%
3.01
6+ Goals
12%
9.77
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
19%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
27%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
17%
+2.8pp
28%
Draw
22%
+6.3pp
53%
Away Win
62%
-9.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
51%
+4.5pp
45%
BTTS No
49%
-4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kaya v BG Pathum United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kaya EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY BG Pathum United EU Bookmakers 66%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
290 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 412 · 83%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Kaya vs BG Pathum United Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kaya
0W-0D-2L
AWAY BG Pathum United
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.25 xG 2.25
33% Ball Possession 67%
6 Total Shots 24
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 9
202 Passes 482
68% Pass Accuracy 86%
3 Box Touches 32
6 Crosses 32
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
08.07.2021 Kaya Kaya 0-1 HT 0-0 BG Pathum United BG Pathum United AŞMP
26.06.2021 BG Pathum United BG Pathum United 4-1 HT 2-0 Kaya Kaya AŞMP
POST-MATCH Kaya vs BG Pathum United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

BG Pathum United saw off Kaya 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had BG Pathum United as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, BG Pathum United led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Kaya and 2.50 for BG Pathum United.

What was the final score of Kaya vs BG Pathum United?

Kaya 0-2 BG Pathum United in the AFCŞL2 on 23/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kaya vs BG Pathum United?

Before kick-off our model rated an BG Pathum United win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Kaya 20%, draw 28%, BG Pathum United 53%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (BG Pathum United) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (BG Pathum United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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