Rancho Santana 1-1 Walter Ferretti — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 23 Oct 2025

📅23/10/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
3.69
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
53%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.21
Over 2.5
50%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.6
No
41%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
11%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
14%
X/X
17%
2/1
4%
2/2
28%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
24%
-5.8pp
29%
Draw
24%
+4.7pp
53%
Away Win
52%
+1.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.9pp
59%
BTTS Yes
58%
+0.8pp
41%
BTTS No
42%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rancho Santana EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Walter Ferretti EU Bookmakers 56%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -16%
1.16/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.28
-10% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -51% / -12%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
289 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rancho Santana
0W-2D-3L
AWAY Walter Ferretti
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
11.08.2025 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti 6-2 HT 4-0 Rancho Santana Rancho Santana NİK
14.04.2025 Rancho Santana Rancho Santana 1-1 HT 1-0 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti NİK
17.02.2025 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti 0-0 HT 0-0 Rancho Santana Rancho Santana NİK
18.11.2024 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti 2-1 HT 1-1 Rancho Santana Rancho Santana NİK
19.09.2024 Rancho Santana Rancho Santana 0-1 HT 0-1 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti NİK
POST-MATCH Rancho Santana vs Walter Ferretti
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rancho Santana and Walter Ferretti shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Walter Ferretti at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (59%) came in.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Walter Ferretti led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Rancho Santana and 2.00 for Walter Ferretti.

What was the final score of Rancho Santana vs Walter Ferretti?

Rancho Santana 1-1 Walter Ferretti in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 23/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rancho Santana vs Walter Ferretti?

Before kick-off our model rated an Walter Ferretti win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Rancho Santana 18%, draw 29%, Walter Ferretti 53%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Walter Ferretti) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Walter Ferretti) ✓ BTTS Yes
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