Express vs Kampala City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Express v Kampala City — Team-Based Signals
Express vs Kampala City Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
2-2
HT 1-1
Kampala City
UGA
0-0
HT 0-0
Express
UGA
Express 0-1 Kampala City — Actual Match Statistics
Kampala City edged past Express 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Kampala City as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Express had 41% of the ball to Kampala City's 59%, shots finished 8-8.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Express had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Express and 0.67 for Kampala City.
What was the final score of Express vs Kampala City?
Express 0-1 Kampala City in the Uganda - Premier League on 23/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Express vs Kampala City?
Before kick-off our model rated an Kampala City win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Express 29%, draw 24%, Kampala City 47%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kampala City), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.