Sacramento Republic vs Charleston Battery Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sacramento Republic v Charleston Battery — Team-Based Signals
Sacramento Republic vs Charleston Battery Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
Charleston Battery
USLP
2-4
HT 2-3
Sacramento Republic
USLP
Sacramento Republic 1-0 Charleston Battery — Actual Match Statistics
Sacramento Republic squeezed past Charleston Battery 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (36% / 29% / 35%) promised a tight game; Sacramento Republic found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Sacramento Republic had 35% of the ball to Charleston Battery's 65%, shots finished 7-10, expected goals 1.63 to 0.58.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Sacramento Republic and 1.67 for Charleston Battery.
What was the final score of Sacramento Republic vs Charleston Battery?
Sacramento Republic 1-0 Charleston Battery in the USL Championship on 23/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sacramento Republic vs Charleston Battery?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sacramento Republic win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Sacramento Republic 36%, draw 29%, Charleston Battery 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sacramento Republic), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.