Inter Milano (K) 1-0 Napoli (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italya - Women's Serie A, 23 Nov 2024

📅23/11/2024 · 🕒16:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
70%
1.22
Draw
19%
5.28
Away
11%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.15
Over 2.5
54%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.51
No
49%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
25%
X/2
3%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
3%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
70%
Home Win
78%
-7.6pp
19%
Draw
16%
+3.5pp
11%
Away Win
7%
+4.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
43%
+2.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
57%
-2.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
36%
+15.7pp
49%
BTTS No
64%
-15.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Inter Milano (K) EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Napoli (K) EU Bookmakers 9%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
2.27/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.60/2.14
+14% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +4%
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
442 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 210 · 67%
32.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.3
19.1 Crosses 8.5
1.6 Yellow Cards 0.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Inter Milano (K)
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Napoli (K)
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.33 xG 0.93
66% Ball Possession 34%
17 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
434 Passes 144
83% Pass Accuracy 58%
30 Box Touches 14
28 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 1
15.09.2024 Napoli (K) Napoli (K) 1-4 HT 1-0 Inter Milano (K) Inter Milano (K) İTKSA
27.01.2024 Napoli (K) Napoli (K) 2-3 HT 1-0 Inter Milano (K) Inter Milano (K) İTKSA
21.10.2023 Inter Milano (K) Inter Milano (K) 2-0 HT 1-0 Napoli (K) Napoli (K) İTKSA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Inter Milano (K)
1-0
AWAY Napoli (K)
1.59 xG 0.14
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 3
5 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 0
331 Passes 166
75% Pass Accuracy 60%
26 Box Touches 9
17 Crosses 4
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Inter Milano (K) vs Napoli (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Inter Milano (K) squeezed past Napoli (K) 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Inter Milano (K) as the likeliest winner at 70%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Inter Milano (K) had 62% of the ball to Napoli (K)'s 38%, shots finished 18-3, expected goals 1.59 to 0.14 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Inter Milano (K)'s control.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Inter Milano (K) had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Inter Milano (K) and 1.00 for Napoli (K).

What was the final score of Inter Milano (K) vs Napoli (K)?

Inter Milano (K) 1-0 Napoli (K) in the Italya - Women's Serie A on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Inter Milano (K) vs Napoli (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Inter Milano (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Inter Milano (K) 70%, draw 19%, Napoli (K) 11%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Inter Milano (K)) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Inter Milano (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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