A. Bilbao (K) 1-0 Madrid CFF (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar, 23 Nov 2024

📅23/11/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.05
Draw
33%
3.45
Away
33%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.95
Over 2.5
50%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.68
No
50%
2.06
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
45%
-11.5pp
33%
Draw
26%
+7.7pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+3.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.5pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME A. Bilbao (K) EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Madrid CFF (K) EU Bookmakers 33%
+37% / +37% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -25% / -25%
1.83/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/2.28
+111% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -1%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
15.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.1
14.0 Crosses 16.7
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME A. Bilbao (K)
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Madrid CFF (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.48 xG 1.73
52% Ball Possession 48%
5 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 8
388 Passes 343
79% Pass Accuracy 76%
9 Box Touches 26
8 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
20.04.2024 Madrid CFF (K) 2-1 HT 1-0 A. Bilbao (K) İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME A. Bilbao (K)
1-0
AWAY Madrid CFF (K)
0.43 xG 0.63
51% Ball Possession 49%
5 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 7
379 Passes 344
84% Pass Accuracy 81%
9 Box Touches 19
13 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH A. Bilbao (K) vs Madrid CFF (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

A. Bilbao (K) edged past Madrid CFF (K) 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (33% / 33% / 33%) promised a tight game; A. Bilbao (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, A. Bilbao (K) had 51% of the ball to Madrid CFF (K)'s 49%, shots finished 5-8, expected goals 0.43 to 0.63.

What was the final score of A. Bilbao (K) vs Madrid CFF (K)?

A. Bilbao (K) 1-0 Madrid CFF (K) in the İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for A. Bilbao (K) vs Madrid CFF (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a A. Bilbao (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split A. Bilbao (K) 33%, draw 33%, Madrid CFF (K) 33%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar More İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar
23 Nov 2024
14:00 Badalona (K) vs Espanyol (K) Analysis →
14:00 Sevilla (K) vs Deportivo (K) Analysis →