MSV Duisburg U19 1-1 Preussen Münster U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - U19 Bundesliga, 23 Nov 2024

📅23/11/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
3.87
Draw
21%
4.08
Away
58%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
3.17
Over 2.5
60%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
No
43%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
20%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
32%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
22%
-1.8pp
21%
Draw
21%
-0.2pp
59%
Away Win
57%
+1.9pp
40%
Under 2.5
28%
+12.3pp
60%
Over 2.5
72%
-12.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME MSV Duisburg U19 EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Preussen Münster U19 EU Bookmakers 61%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +34% / +34%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +81% / +42%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
346 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 369 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME MSV Duisburg U19
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Preussen Münster U19
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
25.08.2024 Preussen Münster U19 Preussen Münster U19 1-4 HT 0-3 MSV Duisburg U19 MSV Duisburg U19 ALU19
POST-MATCH MSV Duisburg U19 vs Preussen Münster U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

MSV Duisburg U19 and Preussen Münster U19 couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Preussen Münster U19 at 59% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, both teams to score (57%) landed while over 2.5 goals (60%) missed.

What was the final score of MSV Duisburg U19 vs Preussen Münster U19?

MSV Duisburg U19 1-1 Preussen Münster U19 in the Germany - U19 Bundesliga on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for MSV Duisburg U19 vs Preussen Münster U19?

Before kick-off our model rated an Preussen Münster U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split MSV Duisburg U19 21%, draw 21%, Preussen Münster U19 59%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Preussen Münster U19), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Preussen Münster U19) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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