Preussen Münster U19 1-4 MSV Duisburg U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - U19 Bundesliga, 25 Aug 2024

📅25/08/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.64
Draw
19%
4.08
Away
37%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
30%
3.68
Over 2.5
70%
1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
65%
1.32
No
35%
3.08
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
35%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
6%
2/1
4%
2/2
23%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
56%
-12.8pp
19%
Draw
21%
-1.8pp
37%
Away Win
22%
+14.5pp
30%
Under 2.5
24%
+6.2pp
70%
Over 2.5
76%
-6.2pp
65%
BTTS Yes
72%
-6.2pp
35%
BTTS No
28%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Preussen Münster U19 EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY MSV Duisburg U19 EU Bookmakers 26%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
360 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Preussen Münster U19 vs MSV Duisburg U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

MSV Duisburg U19 cruised past Preussen Münster U19 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Preussen Münster U19 at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (70%), both teams to score (65%) came in.

What was the final score of Preussen Münster U19 vs MSV Duisburg U19?

Preussen Münster U19 1-4 MSV Duisburg U19 in the Germany - U19 Bundesliga on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Preussen Münster U19 vs MSV Duisburg U19?

Before kick-off our model rated a Preussen Münster U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Preussen Münster U19 44%, draw 19%, MSV Duisburg U19 37%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Preussen Münster U19) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Preussen Münster U19) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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