BAK 07 U19 2-2 St. Pauli U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - U19 Bundesliga, 25 Aug 2024

📅25/08/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.05
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
30%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
32%
3.68
Over 2.5
68%
1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.29
No
44%
3.23
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
34%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
24%
X/2
4%
X/X
13%
2/1
12%
2/2
22%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
45%
+2.4pp
23%
Draw
21%
+2.6pp
30%
Away Win
34%
-5.0pp
32%
Under 2.5
24%
+8.4pp
68%
Over 2.5
76%
-8.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
73%
-17.4pp
44%
BTTS No
27%
+17.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME BAK 07 U19 EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Pauli U19 EU Bookmakers 38%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +85% / +9%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
286 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 426 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME BAK 07 U19
2-2
AWAY St. Pauli U19
49% Ball Possession 51%
17 Total Shots 9
10 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
POST-MATCH BAK 07 U19 vs St. Pauli U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

BAK 07 U19 and St. Pauli U19 shared the points in a 2-2 draw.

Our pre-match lean was BAK 07 U19 at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (68%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, BAK 07 U19 had 49% of the ball to St. Pauli U19's 51%, shots finished 17-9.

What was the final score of BAK 07 U19 vs St. Pauli U19?

BAK 07 U19 2-2 St. Pauli U19 in the Germany - U19 Bundesliga on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for BAK 07 U19 vs St. Pauli U19?

Before kick-off our model rated a BAK 07 U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split BAK 07 U19 47%, draw 23%, St. Pauli U19 30%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (BAK 07 U19) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (BAK 07 U19) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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