Admira Wacker 4-0 FC Liefering — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 23 Nov 2024

📅23/11/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.12
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
31%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.8
Over 2.5
42%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.75
No
54%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.18
2-3 Goals
42%
1.8
4-5 Goals
19%
3.77
6+ Goals
10%
15.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.18 — our 29% vs market 26.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.09
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.35
X/1
19%
4.81
X/2
12%
6.6
X/X
10%
4.52
2/1
6%
27.0
2/2
13%
4.81
2/X
9%
13.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
43%
-1.6pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.2pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+1.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
52%
+5.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
48%
-5.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.3pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Admira Wacker EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Liefering EU Bookmakers 33%
+0% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +4%
0.60/0.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.50
-24% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +24%
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
253 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 69%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.0
14.0 Crosses 13.4
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Admira Wacker
1W-2D-1L
AWAY FC Liefering
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
1.23 xG 1.04
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
284 Passes 274
71% Pass Accuracy 71%
20 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
27.04.2024 Admira Wacker Admira Wacker 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Liefering FC Liefering AU2
08.10.2023 FC Liefering FC Liefering 1-1 HT 1-0 Admira Wacker Admira Wacker AU2
11.11.2022 FC Liefering FC Liefering 1-0 HT 0-0 Admira Wacker Admira Wacker AU2
01.10.2022 Admira Wacker Admira Wacker 3-1 HT 2-0 FC Liefering FC Liefering AU2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Admira Wacker
4-0
AWAY FC Liefering
32% Ball Possession 68%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 8
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Admira Wacker vs FC Liefering
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Admira Wacker cruised past FC Liefering 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Admira Wacker as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Admira Wacker had 32% of the ball to FC Liefering's 68%, shots finished 10-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Admira Wacker and 0.75 for FC Liefering.

What was the final score of Admira Wacker vs FC Liefering?

Admira Wacker 4-0 FC Liefering in the Austria - 1st Division on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Admira Wacker vs FC Liefering?

Before kick-off our model rated a Admira Wacker win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Admira Wacker 42%, draw 27%, FC Liefering 31%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Admira Wacker), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Admira Wacker) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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