Kapfenberger SV 2-0 SV Horn — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 23 Nov 2024

📅23/11/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.76
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
26%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.8
Over 2.5
56%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.85
No
43%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.18
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
3.76
6+ Goals
14%
15.9
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.76 — our 25% vs market 21.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.42
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X EV+ ✗
12%
14.75
X/1
11%
4.09
X/2
11%
8.5
X/X
7%
4.83
2/1
8%
24.7
2/2
9%
6.7
2/X
9%
15.4
Value flag · 1/X at 14.75 — our 12% vs market 4.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
53%
-7.5pp
29%
Draw
25%
+3.9pp
26%
Away Win
23%
+3.5pp
44%
Under 2.5
52%
-8.1pp
56%
Over 2.5
48%
+8.1pp
57%
BTTS Yes
50%
+7.0pp
43%
BTTS No
50%
-7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kapfenberger SV EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY SV Horn EU Bookmakers 26%
-7% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -7%
1.84/1.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.96
-1% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -19%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
343 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 74%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.5
23.0 Crosses 20.8
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kapfenberger SV
2W-2D-2L
AWAY SV Horn
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
26.04.2024 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV 1-3 HT 1-2 SV Horn SV Horn AU2
06.10.2023 SV Horn SV Horn 0-2 HT 0-0 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV AU2
12.05.2023 SV Horn SV Horn 0-0 HT 0-0 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV AU2
29.07.2022 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV 0-1 HT 0-0 SV Horn SV Horn AU2
08.04.2022 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV 0-0 HT 0-0 SV Horn SV Horn AU2
17.09.2021 SV Horn SV Horn 0-1 HT 0-1 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV AU2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kapfenberger SV
2-0
AWAY SV Horn
51% Ball Possession 49%
17 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 0
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Kapfenberger SV vs SV Horn
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kapfenberger SV saw off SV Horn 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Kapfenberger SV as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kapfenberger SV had 51% of the ball to SV Horn's 49%, shots finished 17-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Kapfenberger SV and 0.67 for SV Horn.

What was the final score of Kapfenberger SV vs SV Horn?

Kapfenberger SV 2-0 SV Horn in the Austria - 1st Division on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kapfenberger SV vs SV Horn?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kapfenberger SV win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Kapfenberger SV 45%, draw 29%, SV Horn 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kapfenberger SV) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kapfenberger SV) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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