Kapfenberger SV 1-3 SV Horn — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 26 Apr 2024

Kapfenberger SV
1-3 HT 1-2
SV Horn
📅26/04/2024 · 🕒19:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Austria - 1st Division – 2023/2024

Kapfenberger SV vs SV Horn Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.19
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
32%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.91
Over 2.5
51%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.66
No
50%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.5
2-3 Goals
36%
1.8
4-5 Goals
26%
3.41
6+ Goals
12%
12.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.5 — our 26% vs market 23.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
3.16
1/2
6%
31.5
1/X
6%
12.6
X/1
18%
5.06
X/2
11%
6.41
X/X
13%
4.63
2/1
12%
26.0
2/2
15%
4.41
2/X
7%
12.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
-0.3pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.0pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+1.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.7pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kapfenberger SV v SV Horn — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kapfenberger SV EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY SV Horn EU Bookmakers 34%
+7% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -22%
2.08/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.84
+30% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -15%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
266 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 72%
15.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.5
17.5 Crosses 20.2
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.8

Kapfenberger SV vs SV Horn Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kapfenberger SV
2W-2D-2L
AWAY SV Horn
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
06.10.2023 SV Horn SV Horn 0-2 HT 0-0 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV AU2
12.05.2023 SV Horn SV Horn 0-0 HT 0-0 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV AU2
29.07.2022 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV 0-1 HT 0-0 SV Horn SV Horn AU2
08.04.2022 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV 0-0 HT 0-0 SV Horn SV Horn AU2
17.09.2021 SV Horn SV Horn 0-1 HT 0-1 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV AU2
12.05.2021 SV Horn SV Horn 2-1 HT 1-1 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV AU2
POST-MATCH Kapfenberger SV vs SV Horn
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SV Horn got the better of Kapfenberger SV 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was Kapfenberger SV at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Kapfenberger SV and 0.50 for SV Horn.

What was the final score of Kapfenberger SV vs SV Horn?

Kapfenberger SV 1-3 SV Horn in the Austria - 1st Division on 26/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kapfenberger SV vs SV Horn?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kapfenberger SV win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Kapfenberger SV 42%, draw 26%, SV Horn 32%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Kapfenberger SV) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kapfenberger SV) ✓ Over 2.5
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