Ried 3-0 Amstetten — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 26 Apr 2024

📅26/04/2024 · 🕒19:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.3
Draw
20%
4.95
Away
13%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.51
Over 2.5
55%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.85
No
60%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.54
2-3 Goals
38%
1.9
4-5 Goals
27%
2.89
6+ Goals
11%
8.32
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1.56
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
4%
21.35
X/1
26%
3.46
X/2
4%
17.55
X/X
11%
7.42
2/1
7%
22.3
2/2
6%
13.75
2/X
4%
21.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
72%
-5.9pp
20%
Draw
17%
+3.3pp
13%
Away Win
11%
+2.7pp
45%
Under 2.5
36%
+9.1pp
55%
Over 2.5
64%
-9.1pp
40%
BTTS Yes
50%
-9.5pp
60%
BTTS No
50%
+9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ried EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Amstetten EU Bookmakers 14%
-2% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -7%
3.42/0.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/2.29
+59% / +56% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -6%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
349 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 228 · 68%
21.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.0
23.2 Crosses 17.0
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ried
4W-1D-0L
AWAY Amstetten
2.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
06.10.2023 Amstetten Amstetten 2-3 HT 2-1 Ried Ried AU2
08.03.2020 Amstetten Amstetten 1-2 HT 1-1 Ried Ried AU2
11.08.2019 Ried Ried 4-1 HT 2-0 Amstetten Amstetten AU2
31.03.2019 Ried Ried 2-0 HT 1-0 Amstetten Amstetten AU2
26.08.2018 Amstetten Amstetten 1-1 HT 0-1 Ried Ried AU2
POST-MATCH Ried vs Amstetten
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ried ran out comfortable winners over Amstetten 3-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Ried as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Ried had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.40 goals for Ried and 1.00 for Amstetten.

What was the final score of Ried vs Amstetten?

Ried 3-0 Amstetten in the Austria - 1st Division on 26/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ried vs Amstetten?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ried win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Ried 66%, draw 20%, Amstetten 13%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ried), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ried) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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