Lafnitz 2-3 Leoben — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 26 Apr 2024

Lafnitz
2-3 HT 0-3
Leoben
📅26/04/2024 · 🕒19:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Austria - 1st Division – 2023/2024

Lafnitz vs Leoben Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.69
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
44%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.91
Over 2.5
53%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.76
No
48%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.4
2-3 Goals
44%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
3.48
6+ Goals
9%
13.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
6.3
1/2
6%
23.6
1/X
5%
15.2
X/1
9%
8.24
X/2
16%
4.07
X/X
15%
5.1
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
34.5
2/2
23%
2.38
2/X
6%
14.7
Value flag · 2/1 at 34.5 — our 7% vs market 1.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
24%
+5.0pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.9pp
44%
Away Win
52%
-7.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.7pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Lafnitz v Leoben — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lafnitz EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Leoben EU Bookmakers 56%
+13% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +32% / +32%
1.98/1.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/0.00
+64% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / –
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
293 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 74%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
22.0 Crosses –
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0

Lafnitz vs Leoben Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lafnitz
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Leoben
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
3 Total Shots 6
2 Corners 6
The Meetings
06.10.2023 Leoben Leoben 1-1 HT 1-1 Lafnitz Lafnitz AU2
POST-MATCH Lafnitz vs Leoben
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leoben nicked a narrow win over Lafnitz 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Leoben as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

What was the final score of Lafnitz vs Leoben?

Lafnitz 2-3 Leoben in the Austria - 1st Division on 26/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lafnitz vs Leoben?

Before kick-off our model rated an Leoben win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Lafnitz 29%, draw 27%, Leoben 44%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leoben), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Leoben) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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