Brisbane Roar vs Adelaide United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Brisbane Roar v Adelaide United — Team-Based Signals
Brisbane Roar vs Adelaide United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-0
Brisbane Roar
AVUS
2-1
HT 1-1
Brisbane Roar
AVUS
1-1
HT 0-0
Adelaide United
AVUS
1-2
HT 1-2
Brisbane Roar
AVUK
2-0
HT 2-0
Brisbane Roar
AVUS
Brisbane Roar 2-3 Adelaide United — Actual Match Statistics
Adelaide United nicked a narrow win over Brisbane Roar 3-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 21% / 40% — and on the day Adelaide United made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.
On the day, Brisbane Roar had 39% of the ball to Adelaide United's 61%, shots finished 11-17, expected goals 1.45 to 3.37 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Adelaide United's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Adelaide United led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Brisbane Roar and 1.67 for Adelaide United.
What was the final score of Brisbane Roar vs Adelaide United?
Brisbane Roar 2-3 Adelaide United in the Australia - A-League on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Brisbane Roar vs Adelaide United?
Before kick-off our model rated an Adelaide United win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Brisbane Roar 39%, draw 21%, Adelaide United 40%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Adelaide United), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.