Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 4-0 Ajman — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League, 23 Nov 2024

📅23/11/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.72
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
24%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.59
Over 2.5
55%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.49
No
44%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.8
2-3 Goals
40%
2.06
4-5 Goals
25%
2.65
6+ Goals
13%
6.14
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
54%
-4.7pp
27%
Draw
23%
+3.6pp
24%
Away Win
23%
+0.9pp
45%
Under 2.5
35%
+10.5pp
55%
Over 2.5
65%
-10.5pp
56%
BTTS Yes
63%
-7.5pp
44%
BTTS No
37%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Jazira Abu Dhabi EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Ajman EU Bookmakers 26%
+18% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +5%
1.83/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.35
+29% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -6%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
354 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 79%
28.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.8
16.2 Crosses 15.4
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Jazira Abu Dhabi
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Ajman
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.75 xG 1.54
63% Ball Possession 37%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
523 Passes 279
87% Pass Accuracy 80%
25 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
14.05.2024 Ajman Ajman 2-0 HT 0-0 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi BAE
08.12.2023 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 1-5 HT 1-2 Ajman Ajman BAE
18.03.2023 Ajman Ajman 1-1 HT 0-0 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi BAE
23.10.2022 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 0-1 HT 0-0 Ajman Ajman BAE
06.05.2022 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 3-0 HT 2-0 Ajman Ajman BAE
02.11.2021 Ajman Ajman 2-1 HT 1-1 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi BAE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Jazira Abu Dhabi
4-0
AWAY Ajman
1.49 xG 0.69
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
476 Passes 343
90% Pass Accuracy 85%
19 Box Touches 11
16 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Jazira Abu Dhabi vs Ajman
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Jazira Abu Dhabi cruised past Ajman 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Jazira Abu Dhabi as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (55%) landed while both teams to score (56%) missed.

On the day, Al Jazira Abu Dhabi had 56% of the ball to Ajman's 44%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 1.49 to 0.69.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ajman led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Al Jazira Abu Dhabi and 1.83 for Ajman.

What was the final score of Al Jazira Abu Dhabi vs Ajman?

Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 4-0 Ajman in the UAE - League on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Jazira Abu Dhabi vs Ajman?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Jazira Abu Dhabi win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 49%, draw 27%, Ajman 24%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Jazira Abu Dhabi), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Jazira Abu Dhabi) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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