Dibba Al Hisn 1-0 Baniyas SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League, 23 Nov 2024

📅23/11/2024 · 🕒15:40 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.46
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
47%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.18
Over 2.5
54%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.6
No
47%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.4
2-3 Goals
35%
1.9
4-5 Goals
28%
2.99
6+ Goals
12%
8.98
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
25%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
25%
+2.7pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.1pp
47%
Away Win
50%
-3.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
42%
+4.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
58%
-4.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.6pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dibba Al Hisn EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Baniyas SC EU Bookmakers 55%
-37% / -37% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -2%
1.36/1.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.23
-21% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -13%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
260 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 386 · 81%
12.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.6
14.0 Crosses 18.8
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dibba Al Hisn
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Baniyas SC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.50
0.80 xG 2.06
42% Ball Possession 58%
6 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 4
280 Passes 432
83% Pass Accuracy 88%
13 Box Touches 25
12 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 0
08.09.2024 Dibba Al Hisn Dibba Al Hisn 0-3 HT 0-2 Baniyas SC Baniyas SC BAELK
17.08.2024 Baniyas SC Baniyas SC 4-2 HT 2-2 Dibba Al Hisn Dibba Al Hisn BAELK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dibba Al Hisn
1-0
AWAY Baniyas SC
0.53 xG 1.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
5 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 7
250 Passes 340
77% Pass Accuracy 81%
4 Box Touches 21
6 Crosses 34
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Dibba Al Hisn vs Baniyas SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dibba Al Hisn edged past Baniyas SC 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Baniyas SC at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Dibba Al Hisn had 43% of the ball to Baniyas SC's 57%, shots finished 5-13, expected goals 0.53 to 1.00 — the balance of chances actually favoured Baniyas SC.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Baniyas SC led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Dibba Al Hisn and 3.50 for Baniyas SC.

What was the final score of Dibba Al Hisn vs Baniyas SC?

Dibba Al Hisn 1-0 Baniyas SC in the UAE - League on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dibba Al Hisn vs Baniyas SC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Baniyas SC win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Dibba Al Hisn 28%, draw 25%, Baniyas SC 47%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Baniyas SC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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