Arba Minch Kenema 2-0 Welwalo Adigrat Uni — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 23 Nov 2024

📅23/11/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.72
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
23%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.45
Over 2.5
43%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.51
No
59%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
5%
X/X
17%
2/1
10%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
55%
-8.2pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.8pp
23%
Away Win
18%
+5.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
65%
-7.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
35%
+7.9pp
41%
BTTS Yes
36%
+5.2pp
59%
BTTS No
64%
-5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arba Minch Kenema EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Welwalo Adigrat Uni EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -28% / -28%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / -12%
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
397 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 219 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arba Minch Kenema
2-0
AWAY Welwalo Adigrat Uni
43% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Arba Minch Kenema vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arba Minch Kenema beat Welwalo Adigrat Uni 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Arba Minch Kenema as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Arba Minch Kenema had 43% of the ball to Welwalo Adigrat Uni's 57%, shots finished 7-6.

What was the final score of Arba Minch Kenema vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni?

Arba Minch Kenema 2-0 Welwalo Adigrat Uni in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arba Minch Kenema vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arba Minch Kenema win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Arba Minch Kenema 46%, draw 30%, Welwalo Adigrat Uni 23%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arba Minch Kenema), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Arba Minch Kenema) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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