Awassa Kenema 0-1 Dire Dawa Kenema — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 23 Nov 2024

📅23/11/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
2.8
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
50%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.64
Over 2.5
35%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.9
No
57%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
3%
1/X
11%
X/1
8%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
37%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
32%
-11.4pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.3pp
50%
Away Win
40%
+10.1pp
65%
Under 2.5
57%
+8.1pp
35%
Over 2.5
43%
-8.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.1pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Awassa Kenema EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Dire Dawa Kenema EU Bookmakers 43%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.28/2.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
+11% / -47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / -10%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
325 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Awassa Kenema
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Dire Dawa Kenema
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 10
3 Yellow Cards 3
15.03.2024 Dire Dawa Kenema Dire Dawa Kenema 1-3 HT 0-2 Awassa Kenema Awassa Kenema ETH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Awassa Kenema
0-1
AWAY Dire Dawa Kenema
43% Ball Possession 57%
4 Total Shots 4
2 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Awassa Kenema vs Dire Dawa Kenema
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dire Dawa Kenema edged past Awassa Kenema 1-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Dire Dawa Kenema as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Awassa Kenema had 43% of the ball to Dire Dawa Kenema's 57%, shots finished 4-4.

What was the final score of Awassa Kenema vs Dire Dawa Kenema?

Awassa Kenema 0-1 Dire Dawa Kenema in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Awassa Kenema vs Dire Dawa Kenema?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dire Dawa Kenema win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Awassa Kenema 21%, draw 30%, Dire Dawa Kenema 50%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dire Dawa Kenema), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dire Dawa Kenema) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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