PSG (K) 6-1 Dijon (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Women's 1st Divisioni, 23 Nov 2024

📅23/11/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.27
Draw
20%
5.28
Away
18%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.51
Over 2.5
55%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.96
No
51%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
22%
X/2
4%
X/X
7%
2/1
4%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
74%
-12.9pp
20%
Draw
16%
+4.2pp
18%
Away Win
10%
+8.7pp
45%
Under 2.5
36%
+9.1pp
55%
Over 2.5
64%
-9.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.9pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PSG (K) EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Dijon (K) EU Bookmakers 12%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +76% / +76%
2.80/0.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.58/0.24
+40% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% /
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
469 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 75%
39.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.0
27.0 Crosses 15.0
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PSG (K)
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Dijon (K)
5.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
73% Ball Possession 27%
16 Total Shots 6
9 Shots on Target 5
12.11.2023 Dijon (K) Dijon (K) 2-5 HT 0-2 PSG (K) PSG (K) FRK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PSG (K)
6-1
AWAY Dijon (K)
2.87 xG 0.33
65% Ball Possession 35%
15 Total Shots 2
10 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 0
493 Passes 247
85% Pass Accuracy 77%
22 Box Touches 1
17 Crosses 8
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH PSG (K) vs Dijon (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PSG (K) swept aside Dijon (K) 6-1. Half-time: 4-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had PSG (K) as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 6-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, PSG (K) had 65% of the ball to Dijon (K)'s 35%, shots finished 15-2, expected goals 2.87 to 0.33.

What was the final score of PSG (K) vs Dijon (K)?

PSG (K) 6-1 Dijon (K) in the France - Women's 1st Divisioni on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PSG (K) vs Dijon (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a PSG (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split PSG (K) 62%, draw 20%, Dijon (K) 18%. The final score 6-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PSG (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (PSG (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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