Saint-Étienne (K) 0-2 Montpellier (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Women's 1st Divisioni, 23 Nov 2024

📅23/11/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.32
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
43%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.07
Over 2.5
56%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.63
No
37%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
3%
1/X
9%
X/1
5%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
26%
+2.2pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.8pp
43%
Away Win
49%
-5.8pp
44%
Under 2.5
44%
+0.1pp
56%
Over 2.5
56%
-0.1pp
63%
BTTS Yes
57%
+5.4pp
37%
BTTS No
43%
-5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Saint-Étienne (K) EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Montpellier (K) EU Bookmakers 53%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +38% / +38%
0.57/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.60/0.35
-49% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +51% /
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
257 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 388 · 85%
8.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.0
10.0 Crosses 19.0
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Saint-Étienne (K)
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Montpellier (K)
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.50 xG 3.20
52% Ball Possession 48%
5 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 3
253 Passes 247
72% Pass Accuracy 74%
9 Box Touches 31
18 Crosses 13
4 Yellow Cards 2
24.04.2024 Montpellier (K) Montpellier (K) 4-0 HT 0-0 Saint-Étienne (K) Saint-Étienne (K) FRK1
30.09.2023 Saint-Étienne (K) Saint-Étienne (K) 1-1 HT 1-0 Montpellier (K) Montpellier (K) FRK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Saint-Étienne (K)
0-2
AWAY Montpellier (K)
0.66 xG 1.37
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 1
250 Passes 247
66% Pass Accuracy 66%
16 Box Touches 15
16 Crosses 7
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Saint-Étienne (K) vs Montpellier (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Montpellier (K) got the better of Saint-Étienne (K) 2-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Montpellier (K) as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Saint-Étienne (K) had 51% of the ball to Montpellier (K)'s 49%, shots finished 8-10, expected goals 0.66 to 1.37.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Montpellier (K) led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Saint-Étienne (K) and 2.50 for Montpellier (K).

What was the final score of Saint-Étienne (K) vs Montpellier (K)?

Saint-Étienne (K) 0-2 Montpellier (K) in the France - Women's 1st Divisioni on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Saint-Étienne (K) vs Montpellier (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Montpellier (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Saint-Étienne (K) 29%, draw 28%, Montpellier (K) 43%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Montpellier (K)) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Montpellier (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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