Llantwit Major 1-1 Pontypridd Town AFC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 23 Nov 2024

📅23/11/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.8
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
46%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.9
Over 2.5
42%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.7
No
60%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
24%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
32%
-1.8pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.8pp
46%
Away Win
41%
+4.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
49%
+9.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
51%
-9.5pp
40%
BTTS Yes
55%
-14.8pp
60%
BTTS No
45%
+14.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Llantwit Major EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Pontypridd Town AFC EU Bookmakers 45%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.46/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.89/1.53
-13% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +12%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
321 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Llantwit Major
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Pontypridd Town AFC
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
07.09.2024 Pontypridd Town AFC Pontypridd Town AFC 1-1 HT 0-0 Llantwit Major GALFAW
12.02.2022 Llantwit Major 3-1 HT 3-0 Pontypridd Town AFC Pontypridd Town AFC GALFAW
POST-MATCH Llantwit Major vs Pontypridd Town AFC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Llantwit Major and Pontypridd Town AFC shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Pontypridd Town AFC at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (60%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Llantwit Major had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Llantwit Major and 1.00 for Pontypridd Town AFC.

What was the final score of Llantwit Major vs Pontypridd Town AFC?

Llantwit Major 1-1 Pontypridd Town AFC in the Wales - FAW Championship on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Llantwit Major vs Pontypridd Town AFC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Pontypridd Town AFC win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Llantwit Major 30%, draw 24%, Pontypridd Town AFC 46%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Pontypridd Town AFC), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Pontypridd Town AFC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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