Pontypridd Town AFC 1-1 Llantwit Major — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 7 Sep 2024

Pontypridd Town AFC
1-1 HT 0-0
Llantwit Major
📅07/09/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Wales - FAW Championship – 2024/2025

Pontypridd Town AFC vs Llantwit Major Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.66
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
27%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.38
Over 2.5
61%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.55
No
40%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
56%
-6.9pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.4pp
27%
Away Win
21%
+5.6pp
39%
Under 2.5
38%
+1.1pp
61%
Over 2.5
62%
-1.1pp
60%
BTTS Yes
60%
-0.2pp
40%
BTTS No
40%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Pontypridd Town AFC v Llantwit Major — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pontypridd Town AFC EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Llantwit Major EU Bookmakers 25%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
1.41/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.90/1.90
-31% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +46% / +9%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
396 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Pontypridd Town AFC vs Llantwit Major Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pontypridd Town AFC
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Llantwit Major
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
The Meetings
12.02.2022 Llantwit Major 3-1 HT 3-0 Pontypridd Town AFC Pontypridd Town AFC GALFAW
POST-MATCH Pontypridd Town AFC vs Llantwit Major
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pontypridd Town AFC and Llantwit Major couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Pontypridd Town AFC at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (60%) landed while over 2.5 goals (61%) missed.

What was the final score of Pontypridd Town AFC vs Llantwit Major?

Pontypridd Town AFC 1-1 Llantwit Major in the Wales - FAW Championship on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pontypridd Town AFC vs Llantwit Major?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pontypridd Town AFC win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Pontypridd Town AFC 49%, draw 24%, Llantwit Major 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Pontypridd Town AFC), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Pontypridd Town AFC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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