Excelsior Barendrecht (K) 1-1 Fortuna Sittard (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie, 23 Nov 2024

Excelsior Barendrecht (K)
1-1 HT 1-0
Fortuna Sittard (K)
📅23/11/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie – 2024/2025

Excelsior Barendrecht (K) vs Fortuna Sittard (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.08
Draw
25%
4.34
Away
42%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.59
Over 2.5
51%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.49
No
42%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
29%
+4.7pp
25%
Draw
20%
+5.0pp
42%
Away Win
52%
-9.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
35%
+14.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
65%
-14.1pp
58%
BTTS Yes
63%
-5.5pp
42%
BTTS No
37%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Excelsior Barendrecht (K) v Fortuna Sittard (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Excelsior Barendrecht (K) EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Fortuna Sittard (K) EU Bookmakers 56%
-27% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +28% / +28%
0.76/2.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.48/0.49
-34% / -58% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -42%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
288 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 79%
14.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
16.1 Crosses 7.5
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.0

Excelsior Barendrecht (K) vs Fortuna Sittard (K) Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Excelsior Barendrecht (K)
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Fortuna Sittard (K)
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
33% Ball Possession 67%
9 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 9
The Meetings
21.04.2024 Excelsior Barendrecht (K) Excelsior Barendrecht (K) 2-4 HT 1-0 Fortuna Sittard (K) Fortuna Sittard (K) HOLK1

Excelsior Barendrecht (K) 1-1 Fortuna Sittard (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Excelsior Barendrecht (K)
1-1
AWAY Fortuna Sittard (K)
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
268 Passes 291
69% Pass Accuracy 69%
19 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Excelsior Barendrecht (K) vs Fortuna Sittard (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Excelsior Barendrecht (K) and Fortuna Sittard (K) couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Fortuna Sittard (K) at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, Excelsior Barendrecht (K) had 47% of the ball to Fortuna Sittard (K)'s 53%, shots finished 10-16.

What was the final score of Excelsior Barendrecht (K) vs Fortuna Sittard (K)?

Excelsior Barendrecht (K) 1-1 Fortuna Sittard (K) in the Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Excelsior Barendrecht (K) vs Fortuna Sittard (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fortuna Sittard (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Excelsior Barendrecht (K) 33%, draw 25%, Fortuna Sittard (K) 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Fortuna Sittard (K)), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fortuna Sittard (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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