AS Elfen Saitama (K) 2-1 Cerezo Osaka (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - WE League Women's, 23 Nov 2024

📅23/11/2024 · 🕒06:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.84
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
43%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.64
Over 2.5
40%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
6%
X/2
10%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
29%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
32%
-4.1pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.3pp
44%
Away Win
40%
+3.8pp
60%
Under 2.5
57%
+2.8pp
40%
Over 2.5
43%
-2.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.6pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AS Elfen Saitama (K) EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Cerezo Osaka (K) EU Bookmakers 43%
+51% / +51% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
2.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.09/1.19
+150% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +69% / -31%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
338 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AS Elfen Saitama (K)
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Cerezo Osaka (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
14.04.2024 Cerezo Osaka (K) Cerezo Osaka (K) 0-1 HT 0-1 AS Elfen Saitama (K) AS Elfen Saitama (K) JWEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AS Elfen Saitama (K)
2-1
AWAY Cerezo Osaka (K)
42% Ball Possession 58%
14 Total Shots 9
10 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
POST-MATCH AS Elfen Saitama (K) vs Cerezo Osaka (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AS Elfen Saitama (K) edged past Cerezo Osaka (K) 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Cerezo Osaka (K) at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, AS Elfen Saitama (K) had 42% of the ball to Cerezo Osaka (K)'s 58%, shots finished 14-9.

What was the final score of AS Elfen Saitama (K) vs Cerezo Osaka (K)?

AS Elfen Saitama (K) 2-1 Cerezo Osaka (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AS Elfen Saitama (K) vs Cerezo Osaka (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cerezo Osaka (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split AS Elfen Saitama (K) 28%, draw 29%, Cerezo Osaka (K) 44%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Cerezo Osaka (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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