Parceiro Nagano (K) 1-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - WE League Women's, 23 Nov 2024

Parceiro Nagano (K)
1-0 HT 1-0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)
📅23/11/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
Japan - WE League Women's – 2024/2025

Parceiro Nagano (K) vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
3.87
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
54%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.64
Over 2.5
39%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.99
No
55%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
3%
1/X
10%
X/1
4%
X/2
27%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
23%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Under 2.5 — 61% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
23%
-5.1pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.2pp
54%
Away Win
51%
+2.8pp
61%
Under 2.5
57%
+4.1pp
39%
Over 2.5
43%
-4.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
46%
-1.4pp
55%
BTTS No
54%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Parceiro Nagano (K) v Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Parceiro Nagano (K) EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) EU Bookmakers 55%
-35% / -35% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +32% / +32%
1.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.43/0.68
+11% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +77% / +73%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
208 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 1.0

Parceiro Nagano (K) vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Parceiro Nagano (K)
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
The Meetings
03.05.2024 Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) 2-0 HT 1-0 Parceiro Nagano (K) Parceiro Nagano (K) JWEL

Parceiro Nagano (K) 1-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Parceiro Nagano (K)
1-0
AWAY Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)
38% Ball Possession 62%
6 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Parceiro Nagano (K) vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Parceiro Nagano (K) squeezed past Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Parceiro Nagano (K) had 38% of the ball to Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)'s 62%, shots finished 6-13.

What was the final score of Parceiro Nagano (K) vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)?

Parceiro Nagano (K) 1-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Parceiro Nagano (K) vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Parceiro Nagano (K) 18%, draw 29%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) 54%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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