Lobi Stars 2-2 Kano Pillars — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 23 Nov 2024

📅23/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.42
Draw
29%
4.08
Away
20%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.71
Over 2.5
44%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.4
No
48%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
66%
-15.8pp
29%
Draw
22%
+7.7pp
20%
Away Win
12%
+8.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
55%
+1.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
45%
-1.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
38%
+14.9pp
48%
BTTS No
62%
-14.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lobi Stars EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Kano Pillars EU Bookmakers 15%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +3%
1.53/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.62/1.88
-7% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -15%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
366 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lobi Stars
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Kano Pillars
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
10.04.2022 Lobi Stars Lobi Stars 0-0 HT 0-0 Kano Pillars Kano Pillars NIJ
21.02.2021 Lobi Stars Lobi Stars 1-0 HT 1-0 Kano Pillars Kano Pillars NIJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lobi Stars
2-2
AWAY Kano Pillars
51% Ball Possession 49%
18 Total Shots 10
10 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Lobi Stars vs Kano Pillars
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lobi Stars and Kano Pillars shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Lobi Stars at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lobi Stars had 51% of the ball to Kano Pillars's 49%, shots finished 18-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Lobi Stars had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Lobi Stars and 0.00 for Kano Pillars.

What was the final score of Lobi Stars vs Kano Pillars?

Lobi Stars 2-2 Kano Pillars in the Nigeria NPFL on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lobi Stars vs Kano Pillars?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lobi Stars win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Lobi Stars 51%, draw 29%, Kano Pillars 20%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Lobi Stars), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lobi Stars) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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