Bendel Insurance 3-1 Kwara United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 23 Nov 2024

📅23/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.3
Draw
21%
4.19
Away
18%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.45
Over 2.5
49%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
4.06
No
64%
1.21
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
21%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
73%
-11.4pp
21%
Draw
21%
-0.3pp
18%
Away Win
6%
+11.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
65%
-14.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
35%
+14.7pp
36%
BTTS Yes
21%
+15.2pp
64%
BTTS No
79%
-15.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bendel Insurance EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Kwara United EU Bookmakers 8%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +9%
1.94/0.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/1.49
+14% / +54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +12%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
403 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bendel Insurance
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Kwara United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
07.04.2024 Kwara United Kwara United 1-1 HT 0-1 Bendel Insurance Bendel Insurance NIJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bendel Insurance
3-1
AWAY Kwara United
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Bendel Insurance vs Kwara United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bendel Insurance got the better of Kwara United 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Bendel Insurance as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (64%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Bendel Insurance had 45% of the ball to Kwara United's 55%, shots finished 13-5.

What was the final score of Bendel Insurance vs Kwara United?

Bendel Insurance 3-1 Kwara United in the Nigeria NPFL on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bendel Insurance vs Kwara United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bendel Insurance win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Bendel Insurance 62%, draw 21%, Kwara United 18%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bendel Insurance) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bendel Insurance) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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