Kwara United 1-1 Bendel Insurance — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 7 Apr 2024

Kwara United
1-1 HT 0-1
Bendel Insurance
📅07/04/2024 · 🕒18:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Nigeria NPFL – 2023/2024

Kwara United vs Bendel Insurance Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.57
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
15%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
81%
1.36
Over 2.5
19%
2.98
Both Teams to Score
Yes
25%
3.08
No
75%
1.32
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
46%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
10%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
4%
X/X
20%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
60%
-6.3pp
31%
Draw
27%
+4.0pp
15%
Away Win
13%
+2.3pp
81%
Under 2.5
70%
+10.7pp
19%
Over 2.5
30%
-10.7pp
25%
BTTS Yes
28%
-3.6pp
75%
BTTS No
72%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kwara United v Bendel Insurance — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kwara United EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Bendel Insurance EU Bookmakers 16%
+10% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -27% / -27%
1.62/0.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.25/2.01
-1% / +90% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -55% / -20%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
272 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 3.0
POST-MATCH Kwara United vs Bendel Insurance
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kwara United and Bendel Insurance shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Kwara United at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (81%) landed while no to both teams scoring (75%) missed.

What was the final score of Kwara United vs Bendel Insurance?

Kwara United 1-1 Bendel Insurance in the Nigeria NPFL on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kwara United vs Bendel Insurance?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kwara United win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Kwara United 54%, draw 31%, Bendel Insurance 15%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Kwara United), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kwara United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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