Niger Tornadoes 5-0 Gombe United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.28
Draw
26%
5.15
Away
11%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.51
Over 2.5
46%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.9
No
56%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
3%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
3%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
74%
-10.9pp
26%
Draw
16%
+9.2pp
11%
Away Win
10%
+1.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
36%
+17.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
64%
-17.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.8pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Niger Tornadoes EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Gombe United EU Bookmakers 12%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.45/0.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.40/1.71
-16% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / -6%
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
425 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Niger Tornadoes
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Gombe United
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
24.01.2022 Gombe United Gombe United 1-0 HT 1-0 Niger Tornadoes Niger Tornadoes NIJ
POST-MATCH Niger Tornadoes vs Gombe United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Niger Tornadoes cruised past Gombe United 5-0. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Niger Tornadoes as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (56%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Niger Tornadoes vs Gombe United?

Niger Tornadoes 5-0 Gombe United in the Nigeria NPFL on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Niger Tornadoes vs Gombe United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Niger Tornadoes win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Niger Tornadoes 63%, draw 26%, Gombe United 11%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Niger Tornadoes), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Niger Tornadoes) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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