Sunshine Stars 1-1 Bayelsa United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 7 Apr 2024

Sunshine Stars
1-1 HT 0-1
Bayelsa United
📅07/04/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Nigeria NPFL – 2023/2024

Sunshine Stars vs Bayelsa United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.57
Draw
32%
3.54
Away
16%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.51
Over 2.5
32%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
31%
2.51
No
69%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
45%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
5%
X/X
19%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
60%
-8.4pp
32%
Draw
25%
+7.0pp
16%
Away Win
15%
+1.4pp
68%
Under 2.5
62%
+5.6pp
32%
Over 2.5
38%
-5.6pp
31%
BTTS Yes
36%
-4.7pp
69%
BTTS No
64%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sunshine Stars v Bayelsa United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sunshine Stars EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Bayelsa United EU Bookmakers 18%
+10% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -37% / -37%
1.41/0.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/2.00
-14% / +50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -29%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
322 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Sunshine Stars 1-1 Bayelsa United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sunshine Stars
1-1
AWAY Bayelsa United
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Sunshine Stars vs Bayelsa United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sunshine Stars and Bayelsa United shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Sunshine Stars at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (68%) landed while no to both teams scoring (69%) missed.

On the day, Sunshine Stars had 62% of the ball to Bayelsa United's 38%, shots finished 16-7.

What was the final score of Sunshine Stars vs Bayelsa United?

Sunshine Stars 1-1 Bayelsa United in the Nigeria NPFL on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sunshine Stars vs Bayelsa United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sunshine Stars win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Sunshine Stars 51%, draw 32%, Bayelsa United 16%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sunshine Stars), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sunshine Stars) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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