Egersunds 1-2 Kongsvinger — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 23 Nov 2024

Egersunds
1-2 HT 1-2
Kongsvinger
📅23/11/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✓
Norway - 1st Division – 2024

Egersunds vs Kongsvinger Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.8
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
40%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.15
Over 2.5
51%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.55
No
46%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.37
2-3 Goals
44%
1.9
4-5 Goals
20%
3.0
6+ Goals
11%
9.07
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
4.3
1/2
5%
23.85
1/X
8%
12.9
X/1
8%
6.66
X/2
14%
5.2
X/X
7%
5.29
2/1
5%
29.5
2/2
20%
3.04
2/X EV+ ✗
11%
12.7
Value flag · 2/X at 12.7 — our 11% vs market 5.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
32%
+3.1pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.6pp
40%
Away Win
42%
-2.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
43%
+6.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
57%
-6.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.8pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Egersunds v Kongsvinger — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Egersunds EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Kongsvinger EU Bookmakers 46%
-29% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
0.32/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.03/1.78
-78% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -26%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
305 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 401 · 83%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 1.3

Egersunds vs Kongsvinger Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Egersunds
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Kongsvinger
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 9
3 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
06.10.2024 Egersunds Egersunds 0-1 HT 0-0 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger NOR1
15.04.2024 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger 3-3 HT 1-1 Egersunds Egersunds NOR1
POST-MATCH Egersunds vs Kongsvinger
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kongsvinger nicked a narrow win over Egersunds 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match split (35% / 25% / 40%) promised a tight game; Kongsvinger found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Kongsvinger led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Egersunds and 2.00 for Kongsvinger.

What was the final score of Egersunds vs Kongsvinger?

Egersunds 1-2 Kongsvinger in the Norway - 1st Division on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Egersunds vs Kongsvinger?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kongsvinger win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Egersunds 35%, draw 25%, Kongsvinger 40%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kongsvinger), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kongsvinger) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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