Zaglebie Sosnowiec 2-1 Rekord Bielsko-Biala — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 23 Nov 2024

📅23/11/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
32%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.03
Over 2.5
53%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.68
No
51%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.97
2-3 Goals
40%
1.86
4-5 Goals
22%
3.18
6+ Goals
13%
10.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
53%
-9.6pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.2pp
32%
Away Win
23%
+9.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
45%
+1.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
55%
-1.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.2pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zaglebie Sosnowiec EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Rekord Bielsko-Biala EU Bookmakers 26%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
2.27/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.61
+33% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -7%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
313 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zaglebie Sosnowiec
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Rekord Bielsko-Biala
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
27.07.2024 Rekord Bielsko-Biala Rekord Bielsko-Biala 1-2 HT 0-1 Zaglebie Sosnowiec Zaglebie Sosnowiec POL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zaglebie Sosnowiec
2-1
AWAY Rekord Bielsko-Biala
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 20
9 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Rekord Bielsko-Biala
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zaglebie Sosnowiec edged past Rekord Bielsko-Biala 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Zaglebie Sosnowiec as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Zaglebie Sosnowiec had 48% of the ball to Rekord Bielsko-Biala's 52%, shots finished 15-20.

What was the final score of Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Rekord Bielsko-Biala?

Zaglebie Sosnowiec 2-1 Rekord Bielsko-Biala in the Poland - 2nd Division on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Rekord Bielsko-Biala?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zaglebie Sosnowiec win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Zaglebie Sosnowiec 43%, draw 25%, Rekord Bielsko-Biala 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zaglebie Sosnowiec), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zaglebie Sosnowiec) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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