Olimpia Grudziadz 1-1 Polonia Bytom — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 23 Nov 2024

📅23/11/2024 · 🕒14:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.08
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
43%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.86
Over 2.5
55%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.73
No
46%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.36
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
28%
3.6
6+ Goals
8%
14.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
24%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
29%
+3.3pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.6pp
43%
Away Win
45%
-1.8pp
45%
Under 2.5
50%
-5.3pp
55%
Over 2.5
50%
+5.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
54%
+0.1pp
46%
BTTS No
46%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Olimpia Grudziadz EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Polonia Bytom EU Bookmakers 49%
-5% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -28% / -28%
1.19/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.43/0.99
-10% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -72% / +31%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
205 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 371 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.3 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Olimpia Grudziadz
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Polonia Bytom
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
49% Ball Possession 51%
7 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
28.07.2024 Polonia Bytom Polonia Bytom 2-0 HT 2-0 Olimpia Grudziadz Olimpia Grudziadz POL2
25.11.2023 Polonia Bytom Polonia Bytom 2-1 HT 1-1 Olimpia Grudziadz Olimpia Grudziadz POL2
29.07.2023 Olimpia Grudziadz Olimpia Grudziadz 1-0 HT 0-0 Polonia Bytom Polonia Bytom POL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Olimpia Grudziadz
1-1
AWAY Polonia Bytom
42% Ball Possession 58%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Olimpia Grudziadz vs Polonia Bytom
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Olimpia Grudziadz and Polonia Bytom shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Polonia Bytom at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Olimpia Grudziadz had 42% of the ball to Polonia Bytom's 58%, shots finished 15-8.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Polonia Bytom led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Olimpia Grudziadz and 1.33 for Polonia Bytom.

What was the final score of Olimpia Grudziadz vs Polonia Bytom?

Olimpia Grudziadz 1-1 Polonia Bytom in the Poland - 2nd Division on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Olimpia Grudziadz vs Polonia Bytom?

Before kick-off our model rated an Polonia Bytom win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Olimpia Grudziadz 32%, draw 25%, Polonia Bytom 43%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Polonia Bytom), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Polonia Bytom) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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