Polonia Bytom 2-0 Olimpia Grudziadz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 28 Jul 2024

📅28/07/2024 · 🕒20:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.05
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
25%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.78
Over 2.5
47%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.05
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.82
6+ Goals
12%
16.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
45%
+2.9pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.0pp
25%
Away Win
28%
-2.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.0pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Polonia Bytom EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Olimpia Grudziadz EU Bookmakers 32%
+12% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -6%
2.17/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.48
+42% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -2%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
314 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 229 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Polonia Bytom
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Olimpia Grudziadz
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
25.11.2023 Polonia Bytom Polonia Bytom 2-1 HT 1-1 Olimpia Grudziadz Olimpia Grudziadz POL2
29.07.2023 Olimpia Grudziadz Olimpia Grudziadz 1-0 HT 0-0 Polonia Bytom Polonia Bytom POL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Polonia Bytom
2-0
AWAY Olimpia Grudziadz
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Polonia Bytom vs Olimpia Grudziadz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Polonia Bytom saw off Olimpia Grudziadz 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Polonia Bytom as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Polonia Bytom had 56% of the ball to Olimpia Grudziadz's 44%, shots finished 17-6.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Polonia Bytom and 1.00 for Olimpia Grudziadz.

What was the final score of Polonia Bytom vs Olimpia Grudziadz?

Polonia Bytom 2-0 Olimpia Grudziadz in the Poland - 2nd Division on 28/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Polonia Bytom vs Olimpia Grudziadz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Polonia Bytom win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Polonia Bytom 48%, draw 27%, Olimpia Grudziadz 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Polonia Bytom), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Polonia Bytom) ✓ Under 2.5
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