Portimonense 0-2 Benfica II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 23 Nov 2024

📅23/11/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.33
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
40%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
1.8
Over Pick
50%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1
27%
3.18
2-3
41%
1.8
4-5
22%
3.78
6+
10%
16.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 50%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
39%
-2.3pp
23%
Draw
27%
-3.9pp
40%
Away Win
34%
+6.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.5pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portimonense EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Benfica II EU Bookmakers 37%
-15% / -31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +17%
1.17/1.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/1.48
-60% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +45% / -18%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
303 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
23.8 Crosses 16.6
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Portimonense
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Benfica II
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 2.75
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
04.11.2015 Benfica II Benfica II 3-2 HT 2-1 Portimonense Portimonense POR2
18.03.2015 Benfica II Benfica II 4-1 HT 3-0 Portimonense Portimonense POR2
26.10.2014 Portimonense Portimonense 2-2 HT 1-2 Benfica II Benfica II POR2
18.01.2014 Portimonense Portimonense 0-2 HT 0-0 Benfica II Benfica II POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Portimonense
0-2
AWAY Benfica II
0.80 xG 2.97
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 6
270 Passes 290
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
26 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Portimonense vs Benfica II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Benfica II saw off Portimonense 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 23% / 40% — and on the day Benfica II made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Portimonense had 48% of the ball to Benfica II's 52%, shots finished 11-18, expected goals 0.80 to 2.97.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Benfica II led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Portimonense and 2.75 for Benfica II.

What was the final score of Portimonense vs Benfica II?

Portimonense 0-2 Benfica II in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portimonense vs Benfica II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Benfica II win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Portimonense 37%, draw 23%, Benfica II 40%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Benfica II) — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Benfica II)
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23 Nov 2024
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