CD Feirense vs Maritimo Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
CD Feirense v Maritimo — Team-Based Signals
CD Feirense vs Maritimo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Maritimo
POR2
2-0
HT 2-0
CD Feirense
POR
1-1
HT 0-0
Maritimo
POR
0-3
HT 0-2
CD Feirense
POK
3-2
HT 2-1
Maritimo
PORLC
CD Feirense 1-0 Maritimo — Actual Match Statistics
CD Feirense nicked a narrow win over Maritimo 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (32% / 31% / 37%) promised a tight game; CD Feirense found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, CD Feirense had 44% of the ball to Maritimo's 56%, expected goals 1.43 to 3.09 — on chances, Maritimo could feel hard done by.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Maritimo led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for CD Feirense and 1.50 for Maritimo.
What was the final score of CD Feirense vs Maritimo?
CD Feirense 1-0 Maritimo in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for CD Feirense vs Maritimo?
Before kick-off our model rated an Maritimo win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split CD Feirense 32%, draw 31%, Maritimo 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Maritimo) went the other way.