Baltika Kaliningrad vs FK Rodina Moskva Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Baltika Kaliningrad v FK Rodina Moskva — Team-Based Signals
Baltika Kaliningrad vs FK Rodina Moskva Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
FK Rodina Moskva
RUS1
1-2
HT 1-1
Baltika Kaliningrad
RUS1
Baltika Kaliningrad 2-1 FK Rodina Moskva — Actual Match Statistics
Baltika Kaliningrad squeezed past FK Rodina Moskva 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Baltika Kaliningrad as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Baltika Kaliningrad had 51% of the ball to FK Rodina Moskva's 49%, shots finished 10-7.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Baltika Kaliningrad had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Baltika Kaliningrad and 0.33 for FK Rodina Moskva.
What was the final score of Baltika Kaliningrad vs FK Rodina Moskva?
Baltika Kaliningrad 2-1 FK Rodina Moskva in the Russia - FNL on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Baltika Kaliningrad vs FK Rodina Moskva?
Before kick-off our model rated a Baltika Kaliningrad win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Baltika Kaliningrad 47%, draw 31%, FK Rodina Moskva 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Baltika Kaliningrad) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.