Bucaspor 1928 2-4 Van Spor FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup, 23 Nov 2024

📅23/11/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.57
Draw
38%
3.11
Away
33%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.59
Over 2.5
34%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.96
No
58%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
24%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
35%
-6.7pp
38%
Draw
29%
+9.5pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-2.8pp
66%
Under 2.5
59%
+6.8pp
34%
Over 2.5
41%
-6.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.7pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bucaspor 1928 EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Van Spor FK EU Bookmakers 39%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
0.60/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/0.83
-45% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / +19%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
349 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bucaspor 1928
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Van Spor FK
0.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
62% Ball Possession 38%
19 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
14.01.2024 Van Spor FK Van Spor FK 1-0 HT 0-0 Bucaspor 1928 Bucaspor 1928 T2L-K
27.08.2023 Bucaspor 1928 Bucaspor 1928 0-1 HT 0-1 Van Spor FK Van Spor FK T2L-K
07.05.2023 Van Spor FK Van Spor FK 0-1 HT 0-0 Bucaspor 1928 Bucaspor 1928 T2L-K
03.12.2022 Bucaspor 1928 Bucaspor 1928 0-1 HT 0-0 Van Spor FK Van Spor FK T2L-K
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bucaspor 1928
2-4
AWAY Van Spor FK
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Bucaspor 1928 vs Van Spor FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Van Spor FK saw off Bucaspor 1928 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 29% / 38% / 33% — and on the day Van Spor FK made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Bucaspor 1928 had 50% of the ball to Van Spor FK's 50%, shots finished 13-10.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Van Spor FK led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.25 goals for Bucaspor 1928 and 0.75 for Van Spor FK.

What was the final score of Bucaspor 1928 vs Van Spor FK?

Bucaspor 1928 2-4 Van Spor FK in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bucaspor 1928 vs Van Spor FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Bucaspor 1928 29%, draw 38%, Van Spor FK 33%. The final score 2-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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