Van Spor FK 1-0 Bucaspor 1928 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup, 14 Jan 2024

📅14/01/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.9
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
24%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.54
Over 2.5
42%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.16
No
52%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
23%
X/2
10%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
49%
-0.2pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.1pp
24%
Away Win
23%
+1.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
61%
-2.7pp
42%
Over 2.5
39%
+2.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
42%
+5.7pp
52%
BTTS No
58%
-5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Van Spor FK EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Bucaspor 1928 EU Bookmakers 26%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +26%
2.18/0.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/0.84
+60% / +52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +57% / +47%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
334 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Van Spor FK
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Bucaspor 1928
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 10
3 Yellow Cards 2
27.08.2023 Bucaspor 1928 Bucaspor 1928 0-1 HT 0-1 Van Spor FK Van Spor FK T2L-K
07.05.2023 Van Spor FK Van Spor FK 0-1 HT 0-0 Bucaspor 1928 Bucaspor 1928 T2L-K
03.12.2022 Bucaspor 1928 Bucaspor 1928 0-1 HT 0-0 Van Spor FK Van Spor FK T2L-K
POST-MATCH Van Spor FK vs Bucaspor 1928
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Van Spor FK nicked a narrow win over Bucaspor 1928 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Van Spor FK as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Van Spor FK had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Van Spor FK and 0.33 for Bucaspor 1928.

What was the final score of Van Spor FK vs Bucaspor 1928?

Van Spor FK 1-0 Bucaspor 1928 in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 14/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Van Spor FK vs Bucaspor 1928?

Before kick-off our model rated a Van Spor FK win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Van Spor FK 48%, draw 28%, Bucaspor 1928 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Van Spor FK), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Van Spor FK) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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