Sarıyer 0-1 Güzide Gebze Spor Kulübü — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup, 14 Jan 2024

📅14/01/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.64
Draw
31%
3.64
Away
27%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.91
Over 2.5
44%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.85
No
46%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
12%
X/1
20%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
57%
-15.2pp
31%
Draw
24%
+7.0pp
27%
Away Win
19%
+8.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
48%
+7.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
52%
-7.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
50%
+3.9pp
46%
BTTS No
50%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sarıyer EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Güzide Gebze Spor Kulübü EU Bookmakers 22%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -33% / -33%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -73% / +6%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
363 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sarıyer
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Güzide Gebze Spor Kulübü
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.08.2023 Güzide Gebze Spor Kulübü Güzide Gebze Spor Kulübü 1-0 HT 0-0 Sarıyer Sarıyer T2L-K
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sarıyer
0-1
AWAY Güzide Gebze Spor Kulübü
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 3
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Sarıyer vs Güzide Gebze Spor Kulübü
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Güzide Gebze Spor Kulübü squeezed past Sarıyer 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Sarıyer at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Sarıyer had 60% of the ball to Güzide Gebze Spor Kulübü's 40%, shots finished 15-3.

What was the final score of Sarıyer vs Güzide Gebze Spor Kulübü?

Sarıyer 0-1 Güzide Gebze Spor Kulübü in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 14/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sarıyer vs Güzide Gebze Spor Kulübü?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sarıyer win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Sarıyer 42%, draw 31%, Güzide Gebze Spor Kulübü 27%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sarıyer), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sarıyer) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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