Afyonspor 1-2 Serik Belediyespor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup, 14 Jan 2024

📅14/01/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
36%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.56
Over 2.5
42%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
No
57%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
24%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
34%
+3.9pp
26%
Draw
30%
-3.5pp
36%
Away Win
36%
-0.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
60%
-2.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
40%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Afyonspor EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Serik Belediyespor EU Bookmakers 40%
+49% / +49% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/2.00
-7% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +89% / -50%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
294 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Afyonspor
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Serik Belediyespor
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.08.2023 Serik Belediyespor 1-0 HT 1-0 Afyonspor Afyonspor T2L-K
21.11.2021 Serik Belediyespor 0-0 HT 0-0 Afyonspor Afyonspor S2-K
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Afyonspor
1-2
AWAY Serik Belediyespor
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 9
1 Corners 11
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Afyonspor vs Serik Belediyespor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Serik Belediyespor squeezed past Afyonspor 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 26% / 36%) promised a tight game; Serik Belediyespor found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Afyonspor had 47% of the ball to Serik Belediyespor's 53%, shots finished 8-18.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Serik Belediyespor led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Afyonspor and 0.50 for Serik Belediyespor.

What was the final score of Afyonspor vs Serik Belediyespor?

Afyonspor 1-2 Serik Belediyespor in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 14/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Afyonspor vs Serik Belediyespor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Afyonspor win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Afyonspor 38%, draw 26%, Serik Belediyespor 36%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Afyonspor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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