Iğdır FK 2-1 Arnavutköy Belediye — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup, 14 Jan 2024

📅14/01/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.32
Draw
29%
4.62
Away
21%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.91
Over 2.5
46%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.33
No
59%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
20%
2/1
9%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
71%
-20.8pp
29%
Draw
18%
+10.5pp
21%
Away Win
11%
+10.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.8pp
41%
BTTS Yes
39%
+2.6pp
59%
BTTS No
61%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Iğdır FK EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Arnavutköy Belediye EU Bookmakers 14%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -30% / -30%
1.78/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.00
-3% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / -11%
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
438 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Iğdır FK
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Arnavutköy Belediye
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 3
27.08.2023 Arnavutköy Belediye Arnavutköy Belediye 0-1 HT 0-1 Iğdır FK Iğdır FK T2L-K
POST-MATCH Iğdır FK vs Arnavutköy Belediye
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Iğdır FK squeezed past Arnavutköy Belediye 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Iğdır FK as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Iğdır FK vs Arnavutköy Belediye?

Iğdır FK 2-1 Arnavutköy Belediye in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 14/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Iğdır FK vs Arnavutköy Belediye?

Before kick-off our model rated a Iğdır FK win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Iğdır FK 50%, draw 29%, Arnavutköy Belediye 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Iğdır FK) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Iğdır FK) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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