Muang Thong United 2-1 Bangkok United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 23 Nov 2024

📅23/11/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.57
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
38%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.1
Over 2.5
54%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.56
No
44%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
35%
+0.3pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.7pp
38%
Away Win
39%
-1.0pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.8pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Muang Thong United EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Bangkok United EU Bookmakers 43%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
0.84/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/0.95
+10% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +38%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
279 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 80%
13.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.7
10.8 Crosses 17.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Muang Thong United
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Bangkok United
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.81 xG 0.93
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 7
315 Passes 246
83% Pass Accuracy 79%
15 Box Touches 21
13 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 1
26.11.2022 Muang Thong United Muang Thong United 1-1 HT 0-0 Bangkok United Bangkok United TAY
24.04.2022 Muang Thong United Muang Thong United 3-1 HT 1-0 Bangkok United Bangkok United TAY
21.11.2021 Bangkok United Bangkok United 3-1 HT 2-1 Muang Thong United Muang Thong United TAY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Muang Thong United
2-1
AWAY Bangkok United
1.17 xG 1.24
45% Ball Possession 55%
17 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
254 Passes 319
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
27 Box Touches 16
12 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Muang Thong United vs Bangkok United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Muang Thong United edged past Bangkok United 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 26% / 38% — and on the day Muang Thong United made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Muang Thong United had 45% of the ball to Bangkok United's 55%, shots finished 17-11, expected goals 1.17 to 1.24.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Muang Thong United and 1.67 for Bangkok United.

What was the final score of Muang Thong United vs Bangkok United?

Muang Thong United 2-1 Bangkok United in the Thailand - 1st Division on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Muang Thong United vs Bangkok United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bangkok United win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Muang Thong United 36%, draw 26%, Bangkok United 38%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bangkok United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bangkok United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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