Rayong FC 2-2 Nakhon Pathom — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 23 Nov 2024

📅23/11/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.09
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
29%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.86
Over 2.5
45%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
44%
-3.0pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.4pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-0.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
50%
+4.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
50%
-4.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-3.9pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rayong FC EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Nakhon Pathom EU Bookmakers 33%
+26% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
1.56/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.45
+24% / +64% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / +17%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
323 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 74%
26.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.3
16.9 Crosses 15.2
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rayong FC
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Nakhon Pathom
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
18 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
11.02.2023 Rayong FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Nakhon Pathom Nakhon Pathom TAY1
30.09.2022 Nakhon Pathom Nakhon Pathom 4-1 HT 2-0 Rayong FC TAY1
12.02.2022 Rayong FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Nakhon Pathom Nakhon Pathom TAY1
09.10.2021 Nakhon Pathom Nakhon Pathom 1-4 HT 0-3 Rayong FC TAY1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rayong FC
2-2
AWAY Nakhon Pathom
1.55 xG 0.49
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 6
242 Passes 244
74% Pass Accuracy 73%
17 Box Touches 8
20 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Rayong FC vs Nakhon Pathom
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rayong FC and Nakhon Pathom couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Rayong FC at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Rayong FC had 50% of the ball to Nakhon Pathom's 50%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 1.55 to 0.49.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Rayong FC and 1.50 for Nakhon Pathom.

What was the final score of Rayong FC vs Nakhon Pathom?

Rayong FC 2-2 Nakhon Pathom in the Thailand - 1st Division on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rayong FC vs Nakhon Pathom?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rayong FC win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Rayong FC 41%, draw 30%, Nakhon Pathom 29%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Rayong FC), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rayong FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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