CS Sfaxien 2-0 US Tataouine — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 1st Division, 23 Nov 2024

📅23/11/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.29
Draw
27%
4.62
Away
12%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.75
Over 2.5
41%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.75
No
62%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
2.97
2-3 Goals
45%
1.78
4-5 Goals
16%
4.0
6+ Goals
9%
18.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.97 — our 30% vs market 28.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
4%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
4%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
73%
-12.3pp
27%
Draw
18%
+8.4pp
12%
Away Win
8%
+3.9pp
59%
Under 2.5
53%
+5.7pp
41%
Over 2.5
47%
-5.7pp
38%
BTTS Yes
32%
+5.5pp
62%
BTTS No
68%
-5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CS Sfaxien EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY US Tataouine EU Bookmakers 11%
-10% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +4%
1.19/0.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.31/1.91
-25% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / -34%
64% Ball Possession 36%
14 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
419 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 228 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CS Sfaxien
4W-1D-1L
AWAY US Tataouine
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
11.11.2023 US Tataouine US Tataouine 0-1 HT 0-1 CS Sfaxien CS Sfaxien TUN1B
02.09.2023 CS Sfaxien CS Sfaxien 3-0 HT 1-0 US Tataouine US Tataouine TUN1B
06.05.2023 US Tataouine US Tataouine 0-4 HT 0-2 CS Sfaxien CS Sfaxien TUN
02.02.2023 CS Sfaxien CS Sfaxien 0-1 HT 0-1 US Tataouine US Tataouine TUN1A
30.12.2022 US Tataouine US Tataouine 1-1 HT 0-0 CS Sfaxien CS Sfaxien TUN1A
08.06.2022 US Tataouine US Tataouine 0-1 HT 0-1 CS Sfaxien CS Sfaxien TNUSK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CS Sfaxien
2-0
AWAY US Tataouine
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 0
10 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH CS Sfaxien vs US Tataouine
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CS Sfaxien beat US Tataouine 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had CS Sfaxien as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (62%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, CS Sfaxien had 56% of the ball to US Tataouine's 44%, shots finished 13-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CS Sfaxien had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for CS Sfaxien and 0.33 for US Tataouine.

What was the final score of CS Sfaxien vs US Tataouine?

CS Sfaxien 2-0 US Tataouine in the Tunisia - 1st Division on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CS Sfaxien vs US Tataouine?

Before kick-off our model rated a CS Sfaxien win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split CS Sfaxien 61%, draw 27%, US Tataouine 12%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CS Sfaxien), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (CS Sfaxien) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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