Gabes 2-1 CA Bizertin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 1st Division, 23 Nov 2024

Gabes
2-1 HT 1-0
CA Bizertin
📅23/11/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Tunisia - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Gabes vs CA Bizertin Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.05
Draw
30%
2.88
Away
23%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
73%
1.36
Over 2.5
27%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
29%
2.51
No
71%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
49%
1.86
2-3 Goals
35%
1.92
4-5 Goals
10%
7.79
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 1.86 — our 49% vs market 46.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
44%
+2.1pp
31%
Draw
31%
-0.2pp
23%
Away Win
25%
-1.9pp
73%
Under 2.5
70%
+3.0pp
27%
Over 2.5
30%
-3.0pp
29%
BTTS Yes
36%
-6.9pp
71%
BTTS No
64%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Gabes v CA Bizertin — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gabes EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY CA Bizertin EU Bookmakers 29%
+37% / +37% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -26% / -26%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.24/1.13
-14% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -77% / -5%
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
297 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 67%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 1.5
POST-MATCH Gabes vs CA Bizertin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gabes squeezed past CA Bizertin 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Gabes as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (73%), no to both teams scoring (71%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Gabes vs CA Bizertin?

Gabes 2-1 CA Bizertin in the Tunisia - 1st Division on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gabes vs CA Bizertin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gabes win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Gabes 47%, draw 31%, CA Bizertin 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gabes) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gabes) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
TUN1 More Tunisia - 1st Division
23 Nov 2024
16:00 CS Sfaxien vs US Tataouine Analysis →
16:00 Jeunesse Sportive Omrane vs ES Metlaoui Analysis →
18:30 Club Africain vs AS Slimane Analysis →