Azam 1-0 Kagera Sugar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tanzanya - Kuu Bara Ligi, 23 Nov 2024

📅23/11/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
1.25
Draw
33%
5.15
Away
33%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.91
Over 2.5
50%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.75
No
50%
1.39
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
76%
-42.9pp
33%
Draw
17%
+16.5pp
33%
Away Win
7%
+26.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
32%
+17.8pp
50%
BTTS No
68%
-17.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Azam EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY Kagera Sugar EU Bookmakers 9%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.65/0.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/3.02
-17% / +60% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -41%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Azam
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Kagera Sugar
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
25.05.2024 Azam 5-1 Kagera Sugar Kagera Sugar Tanzanya - Kuu Bara Ligi
12.12.2021 Azam 0-0 Kagera Sugar Kagera Sugar Tanzanya - Kuu Bara Ligi
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Azam
1-0
AWAY Kagera Sugar
53% Ball Possession 47%
18 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 0
8 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Azam vs Kagera Sugar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Azam edged past Kagera Sugar 1-0.

Our pre-match split (33% / 33% / 33%) promised a tight game; Azam found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Azam had 53% of the ball to Kagera Sugar's 47%, shots finished 18-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Azam had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Azam and 0.50 for Kagera Sugar.

What was the final score of Azam vs Kagera Sugar?

Azam 1-0 Kagera Sugar in the Tanzanya - Kuu Bara Ligi on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Azam vs Kagera Sugar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Azam win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Azam 33%, draw 33%, Kagera Sugar 33%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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